Baden vs Aarau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Baden v Aarau — Team-Based Signals
Baden vs Aarau Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Baden
İSV2
Baden 0-1 Aarau — Actual Match Statistics
Aarau squeezed past Baden 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Aarau as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Baden had 33% of the ball to Aarau's 67%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 0.81 to 1.94.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Aarau led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Baden and 1.67 for Aarau.
What was the final score of Baden vs Aarau?
Baden 0-1 Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Baden vs Aarau?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Baden 31%, draw 26%, Aarau 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarau), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.