Lazio vs Juventus Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lazio v Juventus — Team-Based Signals
Lazio vs Juventus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Lazio
İTA
2-1
HT 1-1
Juventus
İTA
1-0
HT 1-0
Lazio
İTK
3-0
HT 1-0
Lazio
İTA
Lazio 2-1 Juventus — Actual Match Statistics
Lazio edged past Juventus 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 32% — and on the day Lazio made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Lazio had 57% of the ball to Juventus's 43%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.57 to 1.44 — the balance of chances actually favoured Juventus.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lazio and 1.67 for Juventus.
What was the final score of Lazio vs Juventus?
Lazio 2-1 Juventus in the Italy - Cup on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lazio vs Juventus?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lazio 37%, draw 32%, Juventus 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.