Guanacasteca 1-2 CS Herediano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 23 Apr 2024

📅23/04/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.4pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +0%
1.05/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.08
-15% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guanacasteca
3W-0D-3L
AWAY CS Herediano
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
19.02.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-1 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
16.11.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-1 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
13.08.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 0-1 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
29.03.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 4-0 HT 3-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
29.01.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 0-1 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
01.09.2022 CS Herediano CS Herediano 3-0 HT 2-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guanacasteca
1-2
AWAY CS Herediano
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guanacasteca vs CS Herediano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano edged past Guanacasteca 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CS Herediano as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Guanacasteca had 57% of the ball to CS Herediano's 43%, shots finished 7-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Guanacasteca and 1.00 for CS Herediano.

What was the final score of Guanacasteca vs CS Herediano?

Guanacasteca 1-2 CS Herediano in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guanacasteca vs CS Herediano?

Before kick-off our model rated an CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Guanacasteca 34%, draw 25%, CS Herediano 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CS Herediano), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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