Raja Casablanca 1-0 Hassania Agadir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.64
Over 2.5
35%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.36
6+ Goals
8%
23.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.48 — our 37% vs market 32.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.5pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.8pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
57%
+7.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
43%
-7.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.6pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raja Casablanca EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hassania Agadir EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.26/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.04
-13% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +21%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
283 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raja Casablanca
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hassania Agadir
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir 1-3 HT 1-1 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
11.05.2024 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir 2-4 HT 1-3 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FASK
20.02.2024 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 2-0 HT 1-0 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir FAS
01.10.2023 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir 1-1 HT 1-0 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
13.04.2023 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir 0-0 HT 0-0 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FASK
12.03.2023 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir 2-1 HT 1-0 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Raja Casablanca
1-0
AWAY Hassania Agadir
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raja Casablanca squeezed past Hassania Agadir 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Raja Casablanca as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Raja Casablanca had 57% of the ball to Hassania Agadir's 43%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raja Casablanca had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Raja Casablanca and 1.00 for Hassania Agadir.

What was the final score of Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir?

Raja Casablanca 1-0 Hassania Agadir in the Morocco - League on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raja Casablanca win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Raja Casablanca 45%, draw 31%, Hassania Agadir 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raja Casablanca), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Raja Casablanca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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