Paris FC (K) 4-0 Fleury 91 (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
28%
4.49
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.1pp
28%
Draw
19%
+8.8pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris FC (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleury 91 (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+0% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.6 Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris FC (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Fleury 91 (K)
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.19 xG 1.64
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
350 Passes 230
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
31 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Fleury 91 (K) Fleury 91 (K) 1-4 HT 0-3 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) FRK1
22.03.2024 Fleury 91 (K) Fleury 91 (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris FC (K)
4-0
AWAY Fleury 91 (K)
2.78 xG 0.82
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
456 Passes 260
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
42 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paris FC (K) vs Fleury 91 (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris FC (K) ran out comfortable winners over Fleury 91 (K) 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paris FC (K) as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Paris FC (K) had 60% of the ball to Fleury 91 (K)'s 40%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 2.78 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Paris FC (K) and 1.50 for Fleury 91 (K).

What was the final score of Paris FC (K) vs Fleury 91 (K)?

Paris FC (K) 4-0 Fleury 91 (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris FC (K) vs Fleury 91 (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris FC (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Paris FC (K) 55%, draw 28%, Fleury 91 (K) 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris FC (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paris FC (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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