Al Hudod 2-1 Al Karkh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.75
Draw
36%
3.28
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
20%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
23%
-2.9pp
36%
Draw
27%
+8.4pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-5.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.1pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hudod EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Karkh EU Bookmakers 54%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.34/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+36% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -40%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hudod
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Karkh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
30.01.2025 Al Karkh Al Karkh 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Hudod IRAK
19.12.2023 Al Karkh Al Karkh 0-1 Al Hudod IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Hudod vs Al Karkh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hudod squeezed past Al Karkh 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Karkh at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Hudod had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Hudod and 0.50 for Al Karkh.

What was the final score of Al Hudod vs Al Karkh?

Al Hudod 2-1 Al Karkh in the Iraq - Premier League on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hudod vs Al Karkh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Karkh win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Hudod 21%, draw 36%, Al Karkh 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Karkh) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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