Al Karma vs Erbil Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Karma v Erbil — Team-Based Signals
Al Karma squeezed past Erbil 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al Karma as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Al Karma vs Erbil?
Al Karma 1-0 Erbil in the Iraq - Premier League on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Karma vs Erbil?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Karma win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Karma 44%, draw 29%, Erbil 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Karma), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.