Benfica vs Tirsense Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Benfica v Tirsense — Team-Based Signals
Benfica vs Tirsense Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Benfica 4-0 Tirsense — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica ran out comfortable winners over Tirsense 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Benfica had 66% of the ball to Tirsense's 34%, shots finished 33-5, expected goals 6.38 to 0.17.
What was the final score of Benfica vs Tirsense?
Benfica 4-0 Tirsense in the Portugal - Cup on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Benfica vs Tirsense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Benfica 69%, draw 17%, Tirsense 14%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.