EGS Gafsa vs Etoile Du Sahel Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
EGS Gafsa v Etoile Du Sahel — Team-Based Signals
EGS Gafsa vs Etoile Du Sahel Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
EGS Gafsa
TUN1A
Etoile Du Sahel edged past EGS Gafsa 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Etoile Du Sahel as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Etoile Du Sahel led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for EGS Gafsa and 1.50 for Etoile Du Sahel.
What was the final score of EGS Gafsa vs Etoile Du Sahel?
EGS Gafsa 2-3 Etoile Du Sahel in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for EGS Gafsa vs Etoile Du Sahel?
Before kick-off our model rated an Etoile Du Sahel win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split EGS Gafsa 27%, draw 17%, Etoile Du Sahel 56%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.