EGS Gafsa 1-1 Etoile Du Sahel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 29 Dec 2024

EGS Gafsa
1-1
Etoile Du Sahel
📅29/12/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Tunisia - 1st Division – 2024/2025

EGS Gafsa vs Etoile Du Sahel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.4
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
60%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.44
Over 2.5
48%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.67
No
55%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
1.92
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
6.14
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
16%
+0.2pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.3pp
60%
Away Win
56%
+4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
66%
-13.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
34%
+13.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
33%
+12.1pp
55%
BTTS No
67%
-12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

EGS Gafsa v Etoile Du Sahel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EGS Gafsa EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Du Sahel EU Bookmakers 60%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.00/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/0.32
-100% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +51%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
238 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

EGS Gafsa vs Etoile Du Sahel Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EGS Gafsa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Etoile Du Sahel
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 2-1 HT 1-1 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa TUN1A
POST-MATCH EGS Gafsa vs Etoile Du Sahel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EGS Gafsa and Etoile Du Sahel couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Etoile Du Sahel carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of EGS Gafsa vs Etoile Du Sahel?

EGS Gafsa 1-1 Etoile Du Sahel in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EGS Gafsa vs Etoile Du Sahel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Etoile Du Sahel win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split EGS Gafsa 16%, draw 24%, Etoile Du Sahel 60%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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