Olympique Beja 0-1 ES Metlaoui — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 29 Dec 2024

📅29/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.02
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.51
No
62%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
15%
7.11
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-9.7pp
34%
Draw
31%
+2.9pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
+2.2pp
62%
BTTS No
64%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympique Beja EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 27%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -16%
1.22/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/0.97
+4% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / +12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympique Beja
3W-1D-2L
AWAY ES Metlaoui
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
23.05.2024 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 2-1 HT 1-0 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN
25.02.2024 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 2-1 HT 2-1 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN
05.02.2023 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 1-0 HT 0-0 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN1B
06.11.2022 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 3-1 HT 0-1 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1B
29.05.2022 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 0-0 HT 0-0 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN
18.05.2022 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 2-0 HT 2-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN
POST-MATCH Olympique Beja vs ES Metlaoui
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Metlaoui squeezed past Olympique Beja 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 34% / 30% — and on the day ES Metlaoui made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympique Beja had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Olympique Beja and 0.83 for ES Metlaoui.

What was the final score of Olympique Beja vs ES Metlaoui?

Olympique Beja 0-1 ES Metlaoui in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympique Beja vs ES Metlaoui?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympique Beja win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Olympique Beja 36%, draw 34%, ES Metlaoui 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Olympique Beja) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olympique Beja) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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