CS Sfaxien 0-1 ES Tunis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 29 Dec 2024

📅29/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.65
Draw
38%
2.7
Away
38%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.25
Over 2.5
34%
3.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.95
No
48%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.58
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
47%
1.93
4-5 Goals
10%
9.2
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.93 — our 47% vs market 41.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
19%
+5.7pp
37%
Draw
34%
+3.6pp
38%
Away Win
48%
-9.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
76%
-10.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
24%
+10.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
30%
+22.0pp
48%
BTTS No
70%
-22.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Sfaxien EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 51%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +20%
1.20/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.40
+40% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +86%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Sfaxien
0W-3D-3L
AWAY ES Tunis
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.19 xG 3.13
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
145 Passes 558
61% Pass Accuracy 88%
7 Box Touches 41
7 Crosses 38
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.06.2024 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 0-0 HT 0-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN
01.05.2024 ES Tunis ES Tunis 1-1 HT 1-0 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN
27.12.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 1-0 HT 1-0 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN1B
24.09.2023 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 0-1 HT 0-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1B
02.08.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 0-0 HT 0-0 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien AŞMPL
24.06.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 1-0 HT 1-0 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Sfaxien
0-1
AWAY ES Tunis
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CS Sfaxien vs ES Tunis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Tunis nicked a narrow win over CS Sfaxien 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (24% / 37% / 38%) promised a tight game; ES Tunis found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CS Sfaxien had 45% of the ball to ES Tunis's 55%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Tunis led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for CS Sfaxien and 0.67 for ES Tunis.

What was the final score of CS Sfaxien vs ES Tunis?

CS Sfaxien 0-1 ES Tunis in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Sfaxien vs ES Tunis?

Before kick-off our model rated an ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CS Sfaxien 24%, draw 37%, ES Tunis 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Tunis), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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