Real Oviedo 1-1 Villarreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 23 Apr 2026

Real Oviedo
1 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Villarreal
📅23/04/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2025/2026

Real Oviedo vs Villarreal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.96
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
43%
2.2
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.82
Over
47%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.94
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.94
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
21%
3.68
6+
5%
15.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.77
1/2
3%
27.0
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
10%
6.54
X/2
15%
4.98
X/X
18%
4.35
2/1
2%
34.0
2/2
25%
3.13
2/X
6%
12.8
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Real Oviedo v Villarreal — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Real Oviedo The Market 34%
Signal
AWAY Villarreal The Market 45%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.83 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.93
0.91 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.31
Bad Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Average
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3

Real Oviedo vs Villarreal Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Oviedo
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Villarreal
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.93 xG 2.44
32% Ball Possession 68%
5 Total Shots 25
4 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 10
267 Passes 612
82% Pass Accuracy 92%
7 Box Touches 53
4 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.08.2025 Villarreal Villarreal 2-0 HT 2-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS1
11.02.2001 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-3 HT 1-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
24.09.2000 Villarreal Villarreal 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS1

Real Oviedo 1-1 Villarreal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Oviedo
1 - 1
AWAY Villarreal
0.80 xG 1.39
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
474 Passes 336
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 12
43 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Real Oviedo vs Villarreal
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Real Oviedo and Villarreal couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We leaned Villarreal at 43% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.

Under the surface, possession split 58% to 42% in Real Oviedo's favour, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 0.80 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Villarreal led the recent series with 3 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for Real Oviedo against 2.00 for Villarreal.

Real Oviedo vs Villarreal Result & Final Score

Real Oviedo 1 - 1 Villarreal in the Spain - Primera Liga on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Real Oviedo vs Villarreal Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Villarreal win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Real Oviedo 27%, draw 30%, Villarreal 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Villarreal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Villarreal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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