Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Espanyol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 23 Apr 2026

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 0 HT 0 - 0
Espanyol
📅23/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2025/2026

Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
24%
3.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.85
Over
49%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.17
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
22%
3.45
6+
5%
13.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.84
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
12.1
X/1
17%
4.93
X/2
10%
7.34
X/X
17%
4.4
2/1
3%
25.0
2/2
13%
5.33
2/X
5%
12.9
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Rayo Vallecano v Espanyol — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Rayo Vallecano The Market 50%
Signal
AWAY Espanyol The Market 30%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.47 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.00
1.10 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.73
Weak Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
25 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2

Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Vallecano
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Espanyol
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.97 xG 1.68
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
362 Passes 268
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.12.2025 Espanyol Espanyol 1-0 HT 1-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
04.04.2025 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 0-4 HT 0-2 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
31.08.2024 Espanyol Espanyol 2-1 HT 1-1 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
21.05.2023 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 1-2 HT 1-1 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
19.08.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 0-2 HT 0-1 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
21.04.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 0-1 HT 0-1 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1

Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Espanyol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Vallecano
1 - 0
AWAY Espanyol
1.60 xG 1.96
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
264 Passes 215
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Rayo Vallecano nicked a narrow win over Espanyol 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rayo Vallecano as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 54%.

On the day, possession split 52% to 48% in Rayo Vallecano's favour, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 1.60 to 1.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Espanyol led the recent series with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Rayo Vallecano against 1.50 for Espanyol.

Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol Result & Final Score

Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 Espanyol in the Spain - Primera Liga on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Vallecano win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Rayo Vallecano 48%, draw 28%, Espanyol 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Vallecano), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rayo Vallecano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İS1 More Spain - Primera Liga
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