Espanyol 2-1 Rayo Vallecano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 31 Aug 2024

Espanyol
2-1 HT 1-1
Rayo Vallecano
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.05
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
17%
6.35
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.18
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
16%
5.15
X/2
11%
5.21
X/X
16%
3.36
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
17%
4.24
2/X
7%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.2pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Espanyol v Rayo Vallecano — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Espanyol EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Vallecano EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.37/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.23
-3% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +37%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
253 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 72%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
21.9 Crosses 20.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2

Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Espanyol
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Rayo Vallecano
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.82 xG 1.09
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
311 Passes 337
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.05.2023 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 1-2 HT 1-1 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
19.08.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 0-2 HT 0-1 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
21.04.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 0-1 HT 0-1 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
05.12.2021 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 1-0 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
24.07.2021 Espanyol Espanyol 0-2 HT 0-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano HAZ
31.01.2021 Espanyol Espanyol 2-3 HT 2-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS2

Espanyol 2-1 Rayo Vallecano — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Espanyol
2-1
AWAY Rayo Vallecano
1.68 xG 1.29
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
276 Passes 318
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Espanyol squeezed past Rayo Vallecano 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Espanyol found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Espanyol had 47% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano's 53%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.68 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rayo Vallecano led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Espanyol and 1.67 for Rayo Vallecano.

What was the final score of Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano?

Espanyol 2-1 Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Primera Liga on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Espanyol win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Espanyol 35%, draw 30%, Rayo Vallecano 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Espanyol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Espanyol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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