Barcelona 7-0 Valladolid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.22
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.89
Over 2.5
63%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.63
2-3 Goals
34%
2.14
4-5 Goals
27%
2.5
6+ Goals
19%
5.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.35
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
27.0
X/1
19%
3.55
X/2
5%
26.0
X/X
7%
10.25
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
21.45
2/2
7%
18.75
2/X
5%
25.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 14% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
77%
-12.1pp
19%
Draw
14%
+5.0pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
31%
+5.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
69%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Valladolid EU Bookmakers 11%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
2.24/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.06
-1% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -3%
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
511 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
37.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
19.6 Crosses 15.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Valladolid
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.99 xG 1.09
65% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
600 Passes 264
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
37 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2023 Valladolid Valladolid 3-1 HT 2-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
28.08.2022 Barcelona Barcelona 4-0 HT 2-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
05.04.2021 Barcelona Barcelona 1-0 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
23.12.2020 Valladolid Valladolid 0-3 HT 0-2 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
22.12.2020 Valladolid Valladolid 0-3 HT 0-2 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
11.07.2020 Valladolid Valladolid 0-1 HT 0-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona
7-0
AWAY Valladolid
4.77 xG 0.52
70% Ball Possession 30%
23 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
545 Passes 197
92% Pass Accuracy 79%
45 Box Touches 8
17 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Barcelona vs Valladolid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona cruised past Valladolid 7-0. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Barcelona as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Barcelona had 70% of the ball to Valladolid's 30%, shots finished 23-4, expected goals 4.77 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Barcelona and 0.50 for Valladolid.

What was the final score of Barcelona vs Valladolid?

Barcelona 7-0 Valladolid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona vs Valladolid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Barcelona 65%, draw 19%, Valladolid 15%. The final score 7-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İS1 More Spain - Primera Liga
31 Aug 2024
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