Valencia 1-1 Villarreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.92
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
18.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.71
1/2
9%
31.5
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
15%
5.35
X/2
15%
5.62
X/X
11%
4.19
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
12%
3.97
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal EU Bookmakers 38%
+7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.31/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.42
+5% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
19.3 Crosses 13.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valencia
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Villarreal
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.39 xG 1.51
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
254 Passes 423
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Villarreal Villarreal 1-0 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
02.01.2024 Valencia Valencia 3-1 HT 2-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
03.05.2023 Valencia Valencia 1-1 HT 0-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
31.12.2022 Villarreal Villarreal 2-1 HT 1-1 Valencia Valencia İS1
19.04.2022 Villarreal Villarreal 2-0 HT 2-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
30.10.2021 Valencia Valencia 2-0 HT 1-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia
1-1
AWAY Villarreal
1.07 xG 0.53
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 3
419 Passes 305
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 15
44 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Valencia vs Villarreal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valencia and Villarreal couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Valencia had 58% of the ball to Villarreal's 42%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 1.07 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villarreal led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Valencia and 1.17 for Villarreal.

What was the final score of Valencia vs Villarreal?

Valencia 1-1 Villarreal in the Spain - Primera Liga on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia vs Villarreal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Valencia 37%, draw 27%, Villarreal 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Valencia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valencia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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