Villarreal vs Valencia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Villarreal v Valencia — Team-Based Signals
Villarreal vs Valencia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Villarreal
İS1
2-1
HT 1-1
Valencia
İS1
2-0
HT 2-0
Valencia
İS1
2-0
HT 1-0
Villarreal
İS1
3-2
HT 0-1
Villarreal
HAZ
Villarreal 1-0 Valencia — Actual Match Statistics
Villarreal edged past Valencia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Villarreal as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Villarreal had 53% of the ball to Valencia's 47%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 2.04 to 1.13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valencia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Villarreal and 1.67 for Valencia.
What was the final score of Villarreal vs Valencia?
Villarreal 1-0 Valencia in the Spain - Primera Liga on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Villarreal vs Valencia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Villarreal 44%, draw 28%, Valencia 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villarreal), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.