Rayo Vallecano 2-0 Real Betis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.47
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.83
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.64
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1
14%
5.04
X/2
9%
5.81
X/X
17%
3.75
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
13%
4.45
2/X
7%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.6pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.1pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Vallecano EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +12%
1.35/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.36
-18% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 75%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
25.4 Crosses 15.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Vallecano
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Real Betis
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.19 xG 1.39
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 Passes 307
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 1-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
15.05.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 3-1 HT 2-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
08.01.2023 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 1-2 HT 1-2 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
03.03.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 1-1 HT 0-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İSPK
09.02.2022 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 1-2 HT 1-1 Real Betis Real Betis İSPK
09.01.2022 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Vallecano
2-0
AWAY Real Betis
0.77 xG 0.82
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 8
185 Passes 344
65% Pass Accuracy 75%
8 Box Touches 34
16 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rayo Vallecano vs Real Betis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Vallecano saw off Real Betis 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 33% / 30%) promised a tight game; Rayo Vallecano found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rayo Vallecano had 39% of the ball to Real Betis's 61%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.77 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Betis led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rayo Vallecano and 1.67 for Real Betis.

What was the final score of Rayo Vallecano vs Real Betis?

Rayo Vallecano 2-0 Real Betis in the Spain - Primera Liga on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Vallecano vs Real Betis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Vallecano win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rayo Vallecano 38%, draw 33%, Real Betis 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Vallecano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rayo Vallecano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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