Leganes 0-1 Mallorca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
35%
2.7
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.83
2-3 Goals
41%
1.91
4-5 Goals
13%
7.88
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.24
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
11%
15.35
X/1
11%
5.08
X/2
10%
5.39
X/X
16%
2.98
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
16%
4.6
2/X
8%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.1pp
35%
Draw
34%
+1.6pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.4pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-1.6pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+1.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+0.6pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leganes EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Mallorca EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -15%
1.09/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.10
-5% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 74%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
20.6 Crosses 19.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leganes
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mallorca
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 0.66
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
305 Passes 268
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2021 Mallorca Mallorca 1-0 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
12.12.2020 Leganes Leganes 0-1 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS2
19.06.2020 Mallorca Mallorca 1-1 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS1
26.10.2019 Leganes Leganes 1-0 HT 1-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
02.04.2016 Mallorca Mallorca 3-0 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
01.11.2015 Leganes Leganes 0-0 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leganes
0-1
AWAY Mallorca
0.32 xG 1.02
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
388 Passes 314
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leganes vs Mallorca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mallorca nicked a narrow win over Leganes 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 35% / 32% — and on the day Mallorca made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Leganes had 54% of the ball to Mallorca's 46%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.32 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mallorca led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Leganes and 1.00 for Mallorca.

What was the final score of Leganes vs Mallorca?

Leganes 0-1 Mallorca in the Spain - Primera Liga on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leganes vs Mallorca?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Leganes 32%, draw 35%, Mallorca 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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