Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Espanyol v Rayo Vallecano — Team-Based Signals
Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Espanyol 1-0 Rayo Vallecano — Actual Match Statistics
Espanyol edged past Rayo Vallecano 1-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Espanyol found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Espanyol had 36% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano's 64%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.33 to 0.25.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Espanyol and 1.00 for Rayo Vallecano.
What was the final score of Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano?
Espanyol 1-0 Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Primera Liga on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Espanyol win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Espanyol 39%, draw 26%, Rayo Vallecano 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Espanyol) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.