Etimesgut Spor 1-0 K.Çekmece Sinopspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division Yükselme Playoff, 23 Apr 2026

📅23/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.59
Over 2.5
49%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.4
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
4.59
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
3.86
1/2
11%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1 EV+ ✓
27%
5.3
X/2
8%
5.55
X/X
14%
3.86
2/1
5%
33.0
2/2
17%
4.14
2/X
8%
13.8
Value flag · X/1 at 5.3 — our 27% vs market 14.5%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.7pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.1pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etimesgut Spor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY K.Çekmece Sinopspor EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etimesgut Spor
1W-0D-1L
AWAY K.Çekmece Sinopspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2026 K.Çekmece Sinopspor K.Çekmece Sinopspor 3-1 HT 1-1 Etimesgut Spor Etimesgut Spor S3-2
17.12.2025 Etimesgut Spor Etimesgut Spor 2-0 HT 1-0 K.Çekmece Sinopspor K.Çekmece Sinopspor S3-2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etimesgut Spor
1-0
AWAY K.Çekmece Sinopspor
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Etimesgut Spor vs K.Çekmece Sinopspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etimesgut Spor edged past K.Çekmece Sinopspor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Etimesgut Spor made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Etimesgut Spor had 56% of the ball to K.Çekmece Sinopspor's 44%, shots finished 12-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Etimesgut Spor and 1.50 for K.Çekmece Sinopspor.

What was the final score of Etimesgut Spor vs K.Çekmece Sinopspor?

Etimesgut Spor 1-0 K.Çekmece Sinopspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division Yükselme Playoff on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etimesgut Spor vs K.Çekmece Sinopspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etimesgut Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Etimesgut Spor 36%, draw 28%, K.Çekmece Sinopspor 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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