Najma 1-2 Al Taawon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 23 Apr 2026

Najma
1-2 HT 0-1
Al Taawon
📅23/04/2026 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2025/2026

Najma vs Al Taawon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.65
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
59%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
2.97
6+ Goals
12%
9.58
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 26% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+1.8pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.1pp
58%
Away Win
60%
-1.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Najma v Al Taawon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Najma EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 64%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.05/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/0.76
+51% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -11%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 85%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
12.0 Crosses 28.6
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.4

Najma vs Al Taawon Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Najma
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Taawon
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.77 xG 1.38
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 10
263 Passes 415
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Box Touches 26
4 Crosses 44
0 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.12.2025 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-0 HT 0-0 Najma SUUD

Najma 1-2 Al Taawon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Najma
1-2
AWAY Al Taawon
0.76 xG 1.34
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
327 Passes 396
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Najma vs Al Taawon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Taawon edged past Najma 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Taawon as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Najma had 47% of the ball to Al Taawon's 53%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.76 to 1.34.

What was the final score of Najma vs Al Taawon?

Najma 1-2 Al Taawon in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Najma vs Al Taawon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Taawon win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Najma 20%, draw 21%, Al Taawon 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Taawon), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Taawon) ✓ Over 2.5
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