Waterford FC 4-2 Drogheda United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 23 May 2024

Waterford FC
4-2 HT 0-1
Drogheda United
📅23/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Ireland - Premier League – 2024

Waterford FC vs Drogheda United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.75
No
59%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.75
6+ Goals
9%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 35% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.97
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
14%
4.67
X/2
10%
6.76
X/X
17%
4.43
2/1
11%
26.5
2/2
9%
4.98
2/X
6%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-3.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
53%
-12.1pp
59%
BTTS No
47%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Waterford FC v Drogheda United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.29/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.04
+23% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
258 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 69%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
14.7 Crosses 18.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7

Waterford FC vs Drogheda United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waterford FC
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Drogheda United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.59 xG 0.46
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
184 Passes 273
58% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.02.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-4 HT 1-2 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
24.09.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
30.07.2021 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-2 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
19.03.2021 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-0 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
24.08.2018 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-1 HT 0-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRK
26.08.2016 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İR1

Waterford FC 4-2 Drogheda United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waterford FC
4-2
AWAY Drogheda United
2.00 xG 0.65
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
333 Passes 172
78% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Waterford FC vs Drogheda United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waterford FC got the better of Drogheda United 4-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Waterford FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Waterford FC had 62% of the ball to Drogheda United's 38%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 2.00 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waterford FC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Waterford FC and 1.00 for Drogheda United.

What was the final score of Waterford FC vs Drogheda United?

Waterford FC 4-2 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waterford FC vs Drogheda United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waterford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 46%, draw 29%, Drogheda United 25%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waterford FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Waterford FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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