IK Brage 0-1 Degerfors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 23 May 2024

IK Brage
0-1 HT 0-1
Degerfors
📅23/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

IK Brage vs Degerfors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.02
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
14%
4.87
X/2
12%
6.64
X/X
8%
4.63
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
25.5
2/2
10%
4.66
2/X
9%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 7% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+3.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Brage v Degerfors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Brage EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Degerfors EU Bookmakers 33%
+5% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +18%
1.82/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.15
+17% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards –

IK Brage vs Degerfors Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Brage
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Degerfors
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
The Meetings
10.10.2020 IK Brage IK Brage 0-0 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
17.06.2020 Degerfors Degerfors 4-1 HT 3-1 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
26.09.2019 IK Brage IK Brage 1-2 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
07.05.2019 Degerfors Degerfors 1-0 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
10.11.2018 IK Brage IK Brage 1-1 HT 0-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
19.05.2018 Degerfors Degerfors 2-2 HT 1-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2

IK Brage 0-1 Degerfors — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Brage
0-1
AWAY Degerfors
67% Ball Possession 33%
5 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH IK Brage vs Degerfors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Degerfors edged past IK Brage 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was IK Brage at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, IK Brage had 67% of the ball to Degerfors's 33%, shots finished 5-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Degerfors led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for IK Brage and 1.67 for Degerfors.

What was the final score of IK Brage vs Degerfors?

IK Brage 0-1 Degerfors in the Sweden - Superettan on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Brage vs Degerfors?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Brage win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split IK Brage 48%, draw 24%, Degerfors 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (IK Brage) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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