Seattle Sounders vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
Seattle Sounders v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
Seattle Sounders 2-1 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
Seattle Sounders found just enough to beat Phoenix Rising 2-1. From 0-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Seattle Sounders as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (56%) landed.
On the day, Seattle Sounders had 51% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 49%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 2.83 to 0.96 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Seattle Sounders's control.
Seattle Sounders vs Phoenix Rising Result & Final Score
Seattle Sounders 2 - 1 Phoenix Rising in the USA - Open Cup on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Seattle Sounders vs Phoenix Rising Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Seattle Sounders win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Seattle Sounders 50%, draw 25%, Phoenix Rising 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Seattle Sounders), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.