Seattle Sounders vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Seattle Sounders v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
Seattle Sounders 2-1 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
Seattle Sounders edged past Phoenix Rising 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Seattle Sounders as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Seattle Sounders had 51% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 49%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 2.83 to 0.96 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Seattle Sounders's control.
What was the final score of Seattle Sounders vs Phoenix Rising?
Seattle Sounders 2-1 Phoenix Rising in the USA - Open Cup on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Seattle Sounders vs Phoenix Rising?
Before kick-off our model rated a Seattle Sounders win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Seattle Sounders 46%, draw 22%, Phoenix Rising 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Seattle Sounders), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.