Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-2 FC Dallas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 23 May 2024

Tampa Bay Rowdies
1-2 HT 0-2
FC Dallas
📅23/05/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
USA - Open Cup – 2024

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs FC Dallas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.57
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.78
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.23
6+ Goals
13%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 26% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
35%
+8.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tampa Bay Rowdies v FC Dallas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-2 FC Dallas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies
1-2
AWAY FC Dallas
2.64 xG 0.69
51% Ball Possession 49%
30 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 5
337 Passes 338
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
44 Box Touches 8
41 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tampa Bay Rowdies vs FC Dallas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Dallas nicked a narrow win over Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Tampa Bay Rowdies at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 51% of the ball to FC Dallas's 49%, shots finished 30-7, expected goals 2.64 to 0.69 — on chances, Tampa Bay Rowdies could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs FC Dallas?

Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-2 FC Dallas in the USA - Open Cup on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs FC Dallas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 43%, draw 22%, FC Dallas 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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