Atletico Tucuman 1-2 Gimnasia La Plata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Cup, 23 May 2024

📅23/05/2024 · 🕒03:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.51
Over 2.5
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.7pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.3pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 34%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.00/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+4% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
259 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
13.0 Crosses 40.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tucuman
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.27 xG 0.70
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
230 Passes 290
69% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 3-2 HT 1-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
11.11.2023 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
12.07.2023 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 2-0 HT 2-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
11.07.2022 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 2-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
09.04.2022 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-2 HT 1-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
08.08.2021 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tucuman
1-2
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata
2.01 xG 1.86
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
216 Passes 228
65% Pass Accuracy 67%
23 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Tucuman vs Gimnasia La Plata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia La Plata edged past Atletico Tucuman 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Gimnasia La Plata found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Tucuman had 49% of the ball to Gimnasia La Plata's 51%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 2.01 to 1.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Tucuman had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atletico Tucuman and 1.00 for Gimnasia La Plata.

What was the final score of Atletico Tucuman vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Atletico Tucuman 1-2 Gimnasia La Plata in the Argentina - Cup on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tucuman vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tucuman 40%, draw 30%, Gimnasia La Plata 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Tucuman) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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