Al Hadd 2-1 Al Ittihad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 23 May 2024

📅23/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.56
2-3 Goals
46%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.37
6+ Goals
7%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 28% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-9.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hadd EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad EU Bookmakers 24%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-12% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
413 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hadd
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Ittihad
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
24.03.2021 Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Hadd Al Hadd BAHK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hadd
2-1
AWAY Al Ittihad
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 3
13 Shots on Target 1
14 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Hadd vs Al Ittihad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hadd squeezed past Al Ittihad 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Hadd as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Hadd had 58% of the ball to Al Ittihad's 42%, shots finished 15-3.

What was the final score of Al Hadd vs Al Ittihad?

Al Hadd 2-1 Al Ittihad in the Bahrain - Premier League on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hadd vs Al Ittihad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hadd win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Hadd 44%, draw 29%, Al Ittihad 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hadd) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Hadd) ✗ Under 2.5
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