East Riffa 2-2 Malkiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 23 May 2024

📅23/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.85
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.1
6+ Goals
9%
19.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-6.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Riffa EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Malkiya EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-3% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
386 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Riffa
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Malkiya
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.04.2021 East Riffa East Riffa 3-0 HT 1-0 Malkiya Malkiya BAH
30.03.2021 East Riffa East Riffa 1-1 HT 1-1 Malkiya Malkiya BAHK
09.02.2021 Malkiya Malkiya 2-4 HT 1-0 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME East Riffa
2-2
AWAY Malkiya
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH East Riffa vs Malkiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Riffa and Malkiya couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was East Riffa at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, East Riffa had 52% of the ball to Malkiya's 48%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, East Riffa had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for East Riffa and 1.00 for Malkiya.

What was the final score of East Riffa vs Malkiya?

East Riffa 2-2 Malkiya in the Bahrain - Premier League on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Riffa vs Malkiya?

Before kick-off our model rated a East Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split East Riffa 45%, draw 24%, Malkiya 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (East Riffa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (East Riffa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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