Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alajuelense v Deportivo Saprissa — Team-Based Signals
Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Alajuelense
KOSTK
1-0
HT 1-0
Alajuelense
KOSTA
2-1
HT 2-1
Deportivo Saprissa
KOSTA
3-1
HT 3-0
Alajuelense
KOSTA
Alajuelense 1-0 Deportivo Saprissa — Actual Match Statistics
Alajuelense squeezed past Deportivo Saprissa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Alajuelense found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Alajuelense had 74% of the ball to Deportivo Saprissa's 26%, shots finished 23-5.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alajuelense and 1.17 for Deportivo Saprissa.
What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa?
Alajuelense 1-0 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 36%, draw 29%, Deportivo Saprissa 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.