Cerro Porteno 2-0 Club Guarani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 23 May 2024

📅23/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.45
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
65%
-13.7pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.4pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.99/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.12
+8% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -19%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
435 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Club Guarani
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
02.12.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4-0 HT 3-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
18.09.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
25.04.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-3 HT 0-2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
12.02.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-1 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
23.10.2022 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-2 HT 1-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
2-0
AWAY Club Guarani
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs Club Guarani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno saw off Club Guarani 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 51% of the ball to Club Guarani's 49%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cerro Porteno and 0.67 for Club Guarani.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Club Guarani?

Cerro Porteno 2-0 Club Guarani in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Club Guarani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 51%, draw 26%, Club Guarani 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✗ Over 2.5
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