Beşiktaş 3-2 Trabzonspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 23 May 2024

Beşiktaş
3-2 HT 1-1
Trabzonspor
📅23/05/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Turkey - Cup – 2023/2024

Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.49
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.78
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.53
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.9
X/1
16%
4.88
X/2
10%
5.81
X/X
13%
3.87
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
17%
4.51
2/X
8%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.9pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Beşiktaş v Trabzonspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 34%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.24/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.93
-84% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 5.0

Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beşiktaş
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Trabzonspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.23 xG 1.08
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 Passes 287
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.02.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-0 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
17.09.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 3-0 HT 2-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
16.04.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
16.10.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-2 HT 1-2 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
03.04.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
06.11.2021 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-2 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL

Beşiktaş 3-2 Trabzonspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beşiktaş
3-2
AWAY Trabzonspor
2.43 xG 2.62
53% Ball Possession 47%
23 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 6
351 Passes 276
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beşiktaş nicked a narrow win over Trabzonspor 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Beşiktaş as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Beşiktaş had 53% of the ball to Trabzonspor's 47%, shots finished 23-13, expected goals 2.43 to 2.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Beşiktaş and 1.33 for Trabzonspor.

What was the final score of Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor?

Beşiktaş 3-2 Trabzonspor in the Turkey - Cup on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Beşiktaş 41%, draw 26%, Trabzonspor 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beşiktaş) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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