Beşiktaş 2-0 Trabzonspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 4 Feb 2024

Beşiktaş
2-0 HT 1-0
Trabzonspor
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.79
6+ Goals
10%
16.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.79 — our 24% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.64
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
9%
4.29
X/2
11%
7.44
X/X
14%
4.5
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
12%
5.73
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
14.25
Value flag · 2/X at 14.25 — our 11% vs market 4.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.3pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Beşiktaş v Trabzonspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -9%
1.87/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.59
+10% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
24.1 Crosses 14.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beşiktaş
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Trabzonspor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.61 xG 1.03
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
405 Passes 276
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 3-0 HT 2-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
16.04.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
16.10.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-2 HT 1-2 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
03.04.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
06.11.2021 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-2 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
31.01.2021 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-2 HT 1-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL

Beşiktaş 2-0 Trabzonspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beşiktaş
2-0
AWAY Trabzonspor
0.53 xG 1.45
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
270 Passes 326
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beşiktaş saw off Trabzonspor 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Beşiktaş made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Beşiktaş had 45% of the ball to Trabzonspor's 55%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.53 to 1.45 — the balance of chances actually favoured Trabzonspor.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Beşiktaş and 1.67 for Trabzonspor.

What was the final score of Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor?

Beşiktaş 2-0 Trabzonspor in the Turkey - Super League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Beşiktaş 40%, draw 31%, Trabzonspor 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beşiktaş), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
4 Feb 2024
13:30 Pendikspor vs Adana Demirspor Analysis →
16:00 Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor Analysis →