Pendikspor 2-1 Adana Demirspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 4 Feb 2024

Pendikspor
2-1 HT 2-0
Adana Demirspor
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Pendikspor vs Adana Demirspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.01
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.08
6+ Goals
9%
9.97
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.01 — our 27% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.69
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
10%
13.0
X/1
15%
4.65
X/2
12%
7.2
X/X
9%
5.17
2/1
8%
23.0
2/2
16%
4.94
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pendikspor v Adana Demirspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.50/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.63
+10% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +29%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
13.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
19.6 Crosses 13.0
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

Pendikspor vs Adana Demirspor Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pendikspor
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Adana Demirspor
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.19 xG 2.53
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 5
492 Passes 321
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 3-0 HT 2-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor TSL
15.12.2010 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor S2-K
20.04.2008 Pendikspor Pendikspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor S2P
17.02.2008 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 1-4 HT 0-1 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2P

Pendikspor 2-1 Adana Demirspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pendikspor
2-1
AWAY Adana Demirspor
1.48 xG 1.24
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
255 Passes 343
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pendikspor vs Adana Demirspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pendikspor nicked a narrow win over Adana Demirspor 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Pendikspor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Pendikspor had 45% of the ball to Adana Demirspor's 55%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.48 to 1.24.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Pendikspor and 1.50 for Adana Demirspor.

What was the final score of Pendikspor vs Adana Demirspor?

Pendikspor 2-1 Adana Demirspor in the Turkey - Super League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pendikspor vs Adana Demirspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pendikspor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pendikspor 40%, draw 26%, Adana Demirspor 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pendikspor) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pendikspor) ✗ Under 2.5
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