Arlanda 5-3 Stocksund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.55
No
54%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.9pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.3pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.7pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arlanda EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Stocksund EU Bookmakers 24%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/2.48
+7% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arlanda
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Stocksund
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
12.10.2021 Stocksund Stocksund 5-2 HT 3-1 Arlanda Arlanda İSÇ4
23.06.2021 Arlanda Arlanda 1-1 HT 0-1 Stocksund Stocksund İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arlanda
5-3
AWAY Stocksund
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arlanda vs Stocksund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arlanda beat Stocksund 5-3. Half-time: 3-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arlanda as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Arlanda had 42% of the ball to Stocksund's 58%, shots finished 7-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stocksund led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arlanda and 3.00 for Stocksund.

What was the final score of Arlanda vs Stocksund?

Arlanda 5-3 Stocksund in the Sweden - 1st Division on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arlanda vs Stocksund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arlanda win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Arlanda 49%, draw 22%, Stocksund 29%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arlanda) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arlanda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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