Karlbergs BK 1-1 Hammarby Talang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+4.8pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.9pp
47%
Away Win
47%
+0.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlbergs BK EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby Talang EU Bookmakers 50%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +3%
2.20/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.16
+53% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
319 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlbergs BK
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Hammarby Talang
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 0-1 HT 0-1 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK İSÇ3
21.04.2024 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK 2-2 HT 1-0 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlbergs BK
1-1
AWAY Hammarby Talang
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Karlbergs BK vs Hammarby Talang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlbergs BK and Hammarby Talang shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Hammarby Talang at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Karlbergs BK had 39% of the ball to Hammarby Talang's 61%, shots finished 8-16.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Karlbergs BK had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Karlbergs BK and 1.00 for Hammarby Talang.

What was the final score of Karlbergs BK vs Hammarby Talang?

Karlbergs BK 1-1 Hammarby Talang in the Sweden - 1st Division on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlbergs BK vs Hammarby Talang?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hammarby Talang win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Karlbergs BK 33%, draw 20%, Hammarby Talang 47%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hammarby Talang) ✗ Over 2.5
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