Hammarby Talang 0-1 Karlbergs BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
64%
-4.4pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.0pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby Talang EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlbergs BK EU Bookmakers 19%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.40/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.24
+11% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby Talang
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Karlbergs BK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.04.2024 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK 2-2 HT 1-0 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby Talang
0-1
AWAY Karlbergs BK
53% Ball Possession 47%
3 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hammarby Talang vs Karlbergs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlbergs BK nicked a narrow win over Hammarby Talang 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Hammarby Talang carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hammarby Talang had 53% of the ball to Karlbergs BK's 47%, shots finished 3-7.

What was the final score of Hammarby Talang vs Karlbergs BK?

Hammarby Talang 0-1 Karlbergs BK in the Sweden - 1st Division on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby Talang vs Karlbergs BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby Talang win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Hammarby Talang 59%, draw 23%, Karlbergs BK 18%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hammarby Talang) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ3 More Sweden - 1st Division
11 Aug 2024
14:00 Rosengard vs Eskilsminne Analysis →
17:00 IF Karlstad vs Vasalund IF Analysis →