IF Karlstad 2-0 Vasalund IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.96
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
28%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
47%
+5.4pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.7pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.2pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasalund IF EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.04/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.34
+29% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IF Karlstad
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Vasalund IF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 0-1 HT 0-1 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
19.08.2023 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 1-2 HT 1-1 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
29.04.2023 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 2-0 HT 1-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
15.10.2022 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 2-2 HT 2-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
08.05.2022 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 2-2 HT 1-0 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
23.09.2020 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 3-0 HT 1-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IF Karlstad
2-0
AWAY Vasalund IF
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IF Karlstad vs Vasalund IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IF Karlstad beat Vasalund IF 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had IF Karlstad as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, IF Karlstad had 40% of the ball to Vasalund IF's 60%, shots finished 9-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vasalund IF led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for IF Karlstad and 1.83 for Vasalund IF.

What was the final score of IF Karlstad vs Vasalund IF?

IF Karlstad 2-0 Vasalund IF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IF Karlstad vs Vasalund IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a IF Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split IF Karlstad 53%, draw 21%, Vasalund IF 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IF Karlstad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IF Karlstad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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