Vasalund IF 0-1 IF Karlstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-10.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasalund IF EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
2.07/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.12
+3% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +65%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasalund IF
3W-2D-0L
AWAY IF Karlstad
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
19.08.2023 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 1-2 HT 1-1 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
29.04.2023 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 2-0 HT 1-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
15.10.2022 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 2-2 HT 2-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
08.05.2022 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 2-2 HT 1-0 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
23.09.2020 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 3-0 HT 1-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasalund IF
0-1
AWAY IF Karlstad
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vasalund IF vs IF Karlstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IF Karlstad squeezed past Vasalund IF 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Vasalund IF at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Vasalund IF had 57% of the ball to IF Karlstad's 43%, shots finished 13-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vasalund IF had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Vasalund IF and 1.00 for IF Karlstad.

What was the final score of Vasalund IF vs IF Karlstad?

Vasalund IF 0-1 IF Karlstad in the Sweden - 1st Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasalund IF vs IF Karlstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasalund IF win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vasalund IF 43%, draw 29%, IF Karlstad 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vasalund IF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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