AFC Malmö 1-1 Oskarshamns AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
27%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-10.2pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.8pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+11.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+11.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-11.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Oskarshamns AIK EU Bookmakers 19%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
2.02/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/2.13
-9% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Malmö
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Oskarshamns AIK
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
12.08.2023 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK 3-2 HT 1-2 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
27.05.2023 AFC Malmö 4-0 HT 0-0 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Malmö
1-1
AWAY Oskarshamns AIK
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH AFC Malmö vs Oskarshamns AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Malmö and Oskarshamns AIK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Malmö at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, AFC Malmö had 62% of the ball to Oskarshamns AIK's 38%, shots finished 14-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for AFC Malmö and 1.50 for Oskarshamns AIK.

What was the final score of AFC Malmö vs Oskarshamns AIK?

AFC Malmö 1-1 Oskarshamns AIK in the Sweden - 1st Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Malmö vs Oskarshamns AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Malmö win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split AFC Malmö 53%, draw 20%, Oskarshamns AIK 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AFC Malmö), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Malmö) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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