FBK Karlstad 0-3 Karlbergs BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FBK Karlstad EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlbergs BK EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+24% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FBK Karlstad
0-3
AWAY Karlbergs BK
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH FBK Karlstad vs Karlbergs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlbergs BK cruised past FBK Karlstad 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was FBK Karlstad at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FBK Karlstad had 54% of the ball to Karlbergs BK's 46%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of FBK Karlstad vs Karlbergs BK?

FBK Karlstad 0-3 Karlbergs BK in the Sweden - 1st Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FBK Karlstad vs Karlbergs BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a FBK Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FBK Karlstad 42%, draw 28%, Karlbergs BK 29%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FBK Karlstad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FBK Karlstad) ✓ Over 2.5
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