Torns 2-1 Tvaaker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
1.75
No
65%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.5pp
35%
BTTS Yes
53%
-18.1pp
65%
BTTS No
47%
+18.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torns EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Tvaaker EU Bookmakers 39%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.40/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.07
-9% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +34%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
306 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torns
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tvaaker
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Torns Torns 1-1 HT 1-0 Tvaaker Tvaaker İSÇ3
03.06.2023 Tvaaker Tvaaker 0-1 HT 0-1 Torns Torns İSÇ3
24.09.2022 Torns Torns 0-1 HT 0-0 Tvaaker Tvaaker İSÇ3
04.06.2022 Tvaaker Tvaaker 0-1 HT 0-0 Torns Torns İSÇ3
16.10.2021 Torns Torns 1-3 HT 0-1 Tvaaker Tvaaker İSÇ3
02.04.2021 Tvaaker Tvaaker 1-1 HT 0-1 Torns Torns İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torns
2-1
AWAY Tvaaker
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Torns vs Tvaaker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torns edged past Tvaaker 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Torns made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torns had 54% of the ball to Tvaaker's 46%, shots finished 17-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Torns and 1.00 for Tvaaker.

What was the final score of Torns vs Tvaaker?

Torns 2-1 Tvaaker in the Sweden - 1st Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torns vs Tvaaker?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torns win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Torns 38%, draw 27%, Tvaaker 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torns) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torns) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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