Throttur Vogar 2-1 KFG Gardabar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.37
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
14%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
68%
-4.1pp
17%
Draw
18%
-0.4pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.1pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Throttur Vogar EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY KFG Gardabar EU Bookmakers 17%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
2.26/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.86
-17% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
422 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Throttur Vogar
2W-2D-0L
AWAY KFG Gardabar
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.07.2024 KFG Gardabar KFG Gardabar 3-3 HT 0-2 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar İZL2
23.05.2024 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar 1-0 HT 0-0 KFG Gardabar KFG Gardabar İZL2
16.09.2023 KFG Gardabar KFG Gardabar 2-4 HT 2-2 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar İZL2
06.07.2023 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar 1-1 KFG Gardabar KFG Gardabar İZL2
POST-MATCH Throttur Vogar vs KFG Gardabar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Throttur Vogar edged past KFG Gardabar 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Throttur Vogar as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Throttur Vogar had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Throttur Vogar and 1.50 for KFG Gardabar.

What was the final score of Throttur Vogar vs KFG Gardabar?

Throttur Vogar 2-1 KFG Gardabar in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Throttur Vogar vs KFG Gardabar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Throttur Vogar win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Throttur Vogar 64%, draw 17%, KFG Gardabar 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Throttur Vogar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Throttur Vogar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İZL2 More Iceland - 2nd Division
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