Babrungas 5-1 Ekranas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.45
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.76
No
39%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
21%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
65%
-13.8pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.9pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+7.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
53%
+8.3pp
39%
BTTS No
47%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babrungas EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekranas EU Bookmakers 18%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
2.16/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.97
+20% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babrungas
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Ekranas
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2024 Babrungas Babrungas 2-2 HT 1-1 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
18.08.2023 Babrungas Babrungas 3-1 HT 1-1 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
01.04.2023 Ekranas Ekranas 1-1 HT 0-0 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
17.10.2022 Ekranas Ekranas 0-2 HT 0-2 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Babrungas
5-1
AWAY Ekranas
75% Ball Possession 25%
21 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Babrungas vs Ekranas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babrungas cruised past Ekranas 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Babrungas as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Babrungas had 75% of the ball to Ekranas's 25%, shots finished 21-3.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Babrungas had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Babrungas and 1.00 for Ekranas.

What was the final score of Babrungas vs Ekranas?

Babrungas 5-1 Ekranas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babrungas vs Ekranas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Babrungas win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Babrungas 51%, draw 26%, Ekranas 23%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Babrungas), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Babrungas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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