Neptüna Klaipeda 1-0 Atmosfera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-15.4pp
28%
Draw
20%
+8.3pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+7.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.8pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 17%
-11% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.66/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.81
-9% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Atmosfera
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.08.2024 Atmosfera Atmosfera 1-0 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
08.03.2024 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 2-0 HT 1-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
12.11.2022 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 4-2 HT 3-2 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
06.07.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 2-2 HT 0-0 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
25.09.2021 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 3-3 HT 3-1 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
POST-MATCH Neptüna Klaipeda vs Atmosfera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neptüna Klaipeda edged past Atmosfera 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Neptüna Klaipeda as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Neptüna Klaipeda had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Neptüna Klaipeda and 1.60 for Atmosfera.

What was the final score of Neptüna Klaipeda vs Atmosfera?

Neptüna Klaipeda 1-0 Atmosfera in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neptüna Klaipeda vs Atmosfera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Neptüna Klaipeda 51%, draw 28%, Atmosfera 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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