Al Nejmeh 1-1 Al Ansar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 23 May 2025

Al Nejmeh
1-1 HT 0-0
Al Ansar
📅23/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Lebanon - Premier League – 2024/2025

Al Nejmeh vs Al Ansar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.09
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
46%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
17%
+8.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
46%
Away Win
58%
-12.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.9pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Nejmeh v Al Ansar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nejmeh EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ansar EU Bookmakers 62%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.48/0.48
+60% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +66%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
203 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Al Nejmeh vs Al Ansar Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nejmeh
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Ansar
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
The Meetings
25.04.2025 Al Ansar Al Ansar 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh LUBN
19.02.2025 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ansar Al Ansar LUBN
POST-MATCH Al Nejmeh vs Al Ansar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nejmeh and Al Ansar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ansar at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Ansar led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Nejmeh and 1.50 for Al Ansar.

What was the final score of Al Nejmeh vs Al Ansar?

Al Nejmeh 1-1 Al Ansar in the Lebanon - Premier League on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nejmeh vs Al Ansar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ansar win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Nejmeh 26%, draw 28%, Al Ansar 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Ansar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ansar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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