Bandırmaspor 1-0 Boluspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.07
Over
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No Pick
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
28%
4.03
2-3
40%
1.89
4-5
23%
3.21
6+
9%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.03 — our 28% vs market 20.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.82
1/2
4%
32.0
1/X
4%
12.75
X/1
15%
5.03
X/2
17%
7.34
X/X
11%
5.19
2/1
8%
23.3
2/2
11%
5.06
2/X
9%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.7pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Boluspor EU Bookmakers 32%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+86% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bandırmaspor
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Boluspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.20 xG 0.81
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
276 Passes 321
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2025 Boluspor Boluspor 1-4 HT 1-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor TP1L
28.03.2025 Boluspor Boluspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
10.11.2024 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
20.01.2024 Boluspor Boluspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
20.08.2023 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
07.05.2023 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-1 HT 2-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bandırmaspor
1-0
AWAY Boluspor
0.71 xG 1.33
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
198 Passes 470
73% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bandırmaspor vs Boluspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandırmaspor squeezed past Boluspor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bandırmaspor as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Bandırmaspor had 33% of the ball to Boluspor's 67%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.71 to 1.33 — on chances, Boluspor could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bandırmaspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bandırmaspor and 0.67 for Boluspor.

What was the final score of Bandırmaspor vs Boluspor?

Bandırmaspor 1-0 Boluspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bandırmaspor vs Boluspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bandırmaspor 43%, draw 25%, Boluspor 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bandırmaspor), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✓ BTTS No
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