Boluspor 2-1 Bandırmaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.95
6+ Goals
9%
18.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 30% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.72
1/2
15%
27.5
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
7%
6.32
X/2
17%
4.7
X/X
15%
4.31
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
14%
3.11
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
46%
Away Win
42%
+3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boluspor EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 46%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / +0%
1.18/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.08
-23% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
291 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
19.8 Crosses 17.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boluspor
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bandırmaspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.23 xG 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
283 Passes 337
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
20.08.2023 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
07.05.2023 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-1 HT 2-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
11.12.2022 Boluspor Boluspor 2-2 HT 1-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
09.04.2022 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 3-0 HT 3-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
06.11.2021 Boluspor Boluspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
19.04.2021 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-3 HT 1-2 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boluspor
2-1
AWAY Bandırmaspor
1.75 xG 1.53
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
289 Passes 425
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boluspor vs Bandırmaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boluspor nicked a narrow win over Bandırmaspor 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bandırmaspor at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boluspor had 43% of the ball to Bandırmaspor's 57%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.75 to 1.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bandırmaspor led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boluspor and 1.50 for Bandırmaspor.

What was the final score of Boluspor vs Bandırmaspor?

Boluspor 2-1 Bandırmaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boluspor vs Bandırmaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Boluspor 27%, draw 27%, Bandırmaspor 46%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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