Kocaelispor 2-1 Eyüpspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
40%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.9
Over 2.5
41%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.3
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.54
6+ Goals
10%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 29% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.48
1/2
5%
24.3
1/X
6%
14.5
X/1
8%
7.3
X/2
20%
4.27
X/X
18%
4.88
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
15%
2.62
2/X
7%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.9pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.6pp
40%
Away Win
48%
-7.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
49%
+10.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
51%
-10.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 52%
+30% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.07/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.85
+71% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
13.7 Crosses 18.3
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kocaelispor
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Eyüpspor
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.07 xG 1.08
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
320 Passes 312
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.08.2023 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
14.05.2022 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 2-1 HT 2-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
19.12.2021 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-1 HT 0-1 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
23.02.2011 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 0-0 HT 0-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor S2-K
10.10.2010 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kocaelispor
2-1
AWAY Eyüpspor
1.01 xG 0.90
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
202 Passes 407
66% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kocaelispor vs Eyüpspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kocaelispor squeezed past Eyüpspor 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Kocaelispor found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kocaelispor had 37% of the ball to Eyüpspor's 63%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.01 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Eyüpspor led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Kocaelispor and 1.00 for Eyüpspor.

What was the final score of Kocaelispor vs Eyüpspor?

Kocaelispor 2-1 Eyüpspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kocaelispor vs Eyüpspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eyüpspor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kocaelispor 29%, draw 31%, Eyüpspor 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eyüpspor) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T1L More Turkey - 1st Division
20 Jan 2024
13:30 Erzurumspor FK vs Bodrum FK Analysis →
16:00 Boluspor vs Bandırmaspor Analysis →